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Rupee opened the week connected a anemic note, slipping 4 paise to 90.24 against US dollar successful aboriginal commercialized connected Monday, extending its downward momentum from 2025. The diminution was triggered by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty arsenic US involution successful Venezuela boosted request for the American currency.Last week connected Friday, the currency had fallen beneath the 90-mark, closing 22 paise little astatine 90.20 against the dollar. The diminution came amid disappointing macroeconomic information and a strengthening US currency successful overseas markets. According to traders, this muted sentiment was owed to continuous withdrawal of overseas money and beardown dollar request from importers, which dragged rupee down. However, softer crude lipid prices and a crisp emergence successful home equities helped bounds the downside, they added.
Furthermore, immoderate involution by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) could supply enactment to the rupee astatine little levels.In 2025, the currency depreciated astir 5% against the US dollar, marking its weakest yearly show since 2022. Despite a softer dollar and astir planetary currencies registering gains, rupee inactive lagged behind. According to a caller study by SBI Funds Management, the underperformance was fueled by “muted overseas portfolio capitalist (FPI) inflows, anemic export momentum and heightened hedging request from importers.” Foreign investors withdrew adjacent to $18 cardinal from Indian equities, citing net downgrades, constricted vulnerability to AI-led planetary growth, and much charismatic opportunities successful different emerging markets. Looking ahead, the slope expects the rupee to diminution by astir 2% successful the adjacent fiscal year, with the speech complaint hovering adjacent 92 against the US dollar.
